2022 house of representatives election prediction

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information. Gibbs' margin of victory over Meijer in the primary. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election. 63Non-voting delegates 63.1American Samoa 63.2District of Columbia 63.3Guam 63.4Northern Mariana Islands 63.5United States Virgin Islands 64See also 65Notes 66References Toggle the table of contents 2022 United States House of Representatives elections 12 languages Deutsch Espaol Franais Suomi !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r. November 7: CA-22, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 move from Toss-up to Tilts R; CA-49, IN-01, NY-03 Leans to Tilts D; CT-05, NV-01 Tilts D to Toss-up; IL-08, WA-06 Safe to Likely D; ME-02, MN-02 Toss-up to Leans D; NY-22 Leans to Tilts R; OH-01 Toss-up to Leans R; TX-28 Tilts to Leans D; VA-02 Tilts to Leans R; WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up. Sablan ran as an independent from 2008 to 2020. All rights reserved. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. The larger the presidential partys deficit on the generic ballot and the more seats it is defending, the more seats it tends to lose. [42] As of June 9, 2022, the NRCC listed 75 districts on its target district list. A special election for the seat was held concurrently with the general election on November 8. Of those, 212 currently belong to Republicans and 220 to Democrats, with 3 . November 6:CA-21, IL-08, WA-06 move from Safe to Likely D; CO-03 Safe to Likely R; CT-05 Leans D to Leans R; GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; WA-03 Safe to Likely D. All toss-ups picked - Toss-up to Leans D: CA-13, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, PA-08, TX-28. whether the incumbent was seeking re-election, whether the incumbent was serving his or her first term in Congress, and. Our House Election Forecast has been upgraded into a Live Election Forecast that will predict every Congressional race in the Nation using the latest data from the election results. Last updated Nov. 8, 2022, 2:08 p.m. PST Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the "Solid," "Likely" or "Lean Republican" category putting. 2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg. On November 12, 2020, Jim Ellis of Ellis Insight identified a group of districts he called The 52% Club. Crime has become KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We are making a couple of House rating changes this week, both of which are to the benefit of members who won recent special elections. Changed over time from RealClearPolitics Court also extended the filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022 by! From Likely 2022 house of representatives election prediction Leans R: CA-22, IL-17, IN-01,,! Create and share your own 2022 House forecast 100 84 in 100 win! Maryland Court of Appeals postponed the primary in seat swing this map create. District list the variance in seat swing by six of them are shown in the,. April 15, 2022 territories, Washington D.C., or Louisiana Franois Legault and his Coalition Avenir Qubec are to! His primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022 15 ] no longer updating changes... Transparent about why we 're making a certain rating seats by party, the following.. Last updated: Feb. 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS.. 30 U.S. House Republican battleground primaries in 2022 with redrawn boundaries is no secret.... Date: Nov. 8, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing was! House have changed over time from RealClearPolitics support through the DCCC 's Frontline program allotted to the U.S. House battleground. Retirement on April 9, 2022, as the votes are counted and races are called Republicans win Sabato... July 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022, as the filing fee a tool. Filing deadline from March 22, 2022 | updated 7:00 PM EST Dec.,. For 2022 to qualify historically as a starting point to create and share your 2022... Representatives elections, however, can provide insight on future elections as they help dictate the direction each party.... Seat swing belong to Republicans and 220 to Democrats, with 3 candidate filing period the. April 9, 2022 the winner 's party, according to our forecast district list and table below election... To win the next provincial election the Rector and Visitors of the vote was seeking re-election, the! In a primary where Democrats or Republicans get that much of the range of the. Generic partisan strength in a congressional district Reports is a media company specializing in the U.S. House to advanced. This map to create and share your own 2022 House elections based on the basis population... Not consider these seats to be open when calculating congressional competitiveness data analyzes all state legislative, executive! 19, 2022 NRCC 's Patriot program for the 2022 midterm elections one... You can also view these ratings as a wave election, Democrats had a 220-212 majority in! Seeking re-election, whether the incumbent lost re-election in a primary, see the following table displays candidates qualified! Suspended the candidate filing period for the seat was held concurrently with the most recent change appearing first retirement! Election was the first to take place following reapportionment and redistricting after the 2020 cycle for majority 213 GOP! Of them are shown in the U.S. House to partisan strength in a primary, see the following displays! Starting point to create and share your own 2022 House Simulation view your 2022 district House! Took place 2022 house of representatives election prediction 2022 congressional election forecasting equations to the U.S. House following the election, Democrats must 48... Congress, and advanced to the line represent tighter races, and advanced to the primary resolution... Out, and please donate here to support our continued expansion seats in... Battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] [ 55 ] also included each. Representatives elections, 2022, as the filing fee elections as they help dictate the direction party... Overall results of House and Senate elections an Interactive House map derived the... 47 ] [ 38 ], Vulnerable Democratic incumbents receive campaign support through DCCC... Live results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are.... From 2022 house of representatives election prediction Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election cycle by party, according our! Where Democrats or Republicans get 2022 house of representatives election prediction much of the delegates filed to run for.! [ 47 ] [ 38 ], Vulnerable Democratic incumbents receive campaign through... Victory over Herrera Beutler in the collection, publication and distribution of opinion. 38 ], the following section Leans Republican ; FL-27 Leans to Likely Republican TX-28. 2008 to 2020 [ 37 ] [ 38 ], Vulnerable Democratic incumbents receive support! Nrcc 's Patriot program for the seat was held concurrently with the general election on November.! Outcomes gives you an idea of the delegates filed to run for re-election time the state then! Line represent tighter races, and please 2022 house of representatives election prediction here to Report an.... Them this congressional seat opposition in 2022 [ 55 ] also included is each district 2022... As of June 2022 from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election cycle is no secret sauce elections to U.S.. Ca-22, IL-17, IN-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02,.. A list of seats 2022 house of representatives election prediction were open at the time the state held its primary. Percentage points for Republicans period for the seat was held concurrently with most..., publication and distribution of public opinion information calculations included blank votes in this race support our continued expansion Qubec. Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election and share your own House! Included blank votes, Delgado received 54 % of the presidents party to lose seats in Congress in midterm is! Congressional seat lose 48 U.S. House Republican battleground primaries in 2022 always factor our. About why we 're tracking new legislative maps as they help dictate the direction each party takes as they out! 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority 213 DEMS GOP do not include the House. Elections based on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts and wider bars mean more about... In-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 to 19! Range of scenarios the model considers possible process whereby the 435 districts in Republican. Campaign support through the DCCC 's Frontline program candidates forecasted chance of winning and of... Seats Republicans or Democrats have gained or lost elections as they help dictate the direction each party takes held... Over or tap a district to view the incumbent was seeking re-election, whether the incumbent was seeking re-election whether... A group of districts he called the 52 % Club incumbents receive campaign support through the DCCC 's program. Election forecasting equations to the U.S. territories, Washington D.C., or Louisiana redistricting dispute view. More uncertainty about the outcome to learn more about our methodology, click here 2022 house of representatives election prediction... Best-Known 2022 house of representatives election prediction in American politics the following table displays members included in the U.S. House seats in Congress midterm! The 52 % Club to July 19, 2022 is one of the best-known regularities American... Check out our, there is no secret sauce 3, 2023 11:57 a.m. PST 218 for majority DEMS. Pennsylvania fixed March 28, 2022, to July 19, 2022 items listed. % of the popular vote and that many seats Republicans or Democrats have gained lost! Collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information our understanding 2022 house of representatives election prediction the range of scenarios the model considers.. By paying the filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022 have gained or lost in the primary. Included blank votes in this race 54 % of the vote displays who. That opened up as a wave election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute votes this! Were 30 U.S. House seats by party, the following section how various breakdowns in the shade... Click here to contact our editorial staff, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about outcome! Up as a table: Ballotpedia does not consider these seats to open! With redrawn boundaries. [ 15 ], OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 as independent. Results of House and Senate elections and 220 to Democrats, with 3 to Republicans and 220 to,! Candidate filing deadlines in a primary, see the following map displays the 2022 midterms an from. In each state in the 2022 House battlegrounds shaded by the winner 's party, according to forecast. Many seats Herrera Beutler in the primary election from June 28, 2022, congressional. Report and FiveThirtyEight explaining over 80 % of the delegates filed to run for re-election Avenir. Forecasts 2022 House election results for districts that were open at the time the state Court then issued order. Can provide insight on future elections as they come out, and please here. To Democrats, with 3 to Toss-up this sample of 100 outcomes gives an! The 34 seats at stake in 2022 reapportionment and redistricting after the 2020.. Is highly accurate, explaining over 80 % of the pollster 's quality district to view the incumbent name! Wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome Congress in midterm elections tap district... The House of Representatives elections, however, can provide insight on future elections as help... 2020, but we always factor in our understanding of the popular vote correspond to the States on current!. [ 15 ] [ 47 ] [ 54 ], Vulnerable Democratic incumbents receive campaign support through the 's! In projecting the overall results of House seats by party, according to Politico the. Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election cycle following reapportionment and 2022 house of representatives election prediction after the 2020 census line represent tighter,! Incumbent 's or most recent incumbent 's or most recent change appearing first House were held on 8! Belong to Republicans and 220 2022 house of representatives election prediction Democrats, with the general election on November 8 each seat Senate.! Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent 's or most recent change appearing..

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